Thursday, January 24, 2008

Know the Enemy

The Problem

Four essential facts about this war are not yet widely recognized:

  • We did not start this war that threatens our lives and liberties.


  • The war against the Free World began long before September 11, 2001.


  • We face more than one enemy determined to eliminate us.


  • Terrorist organizations depend on state-sponsors - the non-democratic nations that provide them intelligence, weapons, financial, diplomatic and logistic support.

Much like the fascist and communist enemies that we faced in the last century, the current global threat is driven by a totalitarian ideology - this time, an ideology masquerading as a religion - that seeks not only regional but global domination.

We characterize this ideology as "Islamofascism" (or "Islamism"): a doctrine of ruthless political power that adopts (and distorts) the language of Islam. Islamofascism poses the greatest threat, initially, to legitimate Muslim leaders and communities. The Islamists' first step towards pursuing global jihad is to take control of the religious community, worldwide.

The political successes of Islamofascism have little to do with its inherent appeal, and much to do with two stark factors: First, the threat of brutal reprisal against the majority of Muslims who do not subscribe to this repressive ideology. And second, the flow of money from places like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Libya and Sudan.

No region of the world is immune to the terrorist tactics and political warfare of Islamofascism. The rapidly growing Muslim ghettoes in Western Europe are becoming prime breeding-grounds for Islamic fanaticism - and hence terrorism.

Muslim populations in Africa are increasingly being subjected to the Islamists' harsh, Taliban-style version of religious law known as Shari'a.

Islamofascist organizations and state sponsors have engineered ominous tactical alliances with Russia and China.

Islamism is also a growing threat to Muslim and non-Muslim communities inside the United States.

What Needs to Be Done

Little lasting progress in the war on terror can be expected if we fail to grasp two important realities:

1. Islamofascism is a totalitarian ideology, not a religion. It is about power, not faith.
Islamism promotes political sedition and incitement to violence. It must be defeated.

2. In virtually all cases, Islamism and its terrorist manifestations have been - and continue to be - state-sponsored. Strategies for defeating Islamofascism must address its wellsprings, not just its symptoms.

Contributor: Alex Alexiev

Know the Enemy

The Problem

Four essential facts about this war are not yet widely recognized:

  • We did not start this war that threatens our lives and liberties.


  • The war against the Free World began long before September 11, 2001.


  • We face more than one enemy determined to eliminate us.


  • Terrorist organizations depend on state-sponsors - the non-democratic nations that provide them intelligence, weapons, financial, diplomatic and logistic support.

Much like the fascist and communist enemies that we faced in the last century, the current global threat is driven by a totalitarian ideology - this time, an ideology masquerading as a religion - that seeks not only regional but global domination.

We characterize this ideology as "Islamofascism" (or "Islamism"): a doctrine of ruthless political power that adopts (and distorts) the language of Islam. Islamofascism poses the greatest threat, initially, to legitimate Muslim leaders and communities. The Islamists' first step towards pursuing global jihad is to take control of the religious community, worldwide.

The political successes of Islamofascism have little to do with its inherent appeal, and much to do with two stark factors: First, the threat of brutal reprisal against the majority of Muslims who do not subscribe to this repressive ideology. And second, the flow of money from places like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Libya and Sudan.

No region of the world is immune to the terrorist tactics and political warfare of Islamofascism. The rapidly growing Muslim ghettoes in Western Europe are becoming prime breeding-grounds for Islamic fanaticism - and hence terrorism.

Muslim populations in Africa are increasingly being subjected to the Islamists' harsh, Taliban-style version of religious law known as Shari'a.

Islamofascist organizations and state sponsors have engineered ominous tactical alliances with Russia and China.

Islamism is also a growing threat to Muslim and non-Muslim communities inside the United States.

What Needs to Be Done

Little lasting progress in the war on terror can be expected if we fail to grasp two important realities:

1. Islamofascism is a totalitarian ideology, not a religion. It is about power, not faith.
Islamism promotes political sedition and incitement to violence. It must be defeated.

2. In virtually all cases, Islamism and its terrorist manifestations have been - and continue to be - state-sponsored. Strategies for defeating Islamofascism must address its wellsprings, not just its symptoms.

Contributor: Alex Alexiev

Support the Troops

The Problem

The war currently being fought in Iraq is just one front in the global conflict between the Islamist movement and the Free World. The former Iraqi regime was - like the Taliban regime in Afghanistan - an active sponsor of terrorist groups and agents. Iraq was sheltering and supporting (among other terrorists) a principal terrorist behind the current insurgency, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

The historic first steps toward democratic government in the Middle East, in Afghanistan and Iraq, have already had enormous psychological and political impact throughout the region, prompting democratic concessions on the part of some unelected governments, and giving hope and inspiration to reformers in many countries in the Middle East and beyond.

To lose these pivotal struggles would be to set back the cause of the Free World, perhaps irreparably in some regions - and would establish new centers of enemy activity.

Terrorists - like a malignancy - must be eliminated. They cannot be appeased with concessions or legitimated with a diplomatic band-aid. Not only is it a grave mistake to try to co-opt terrorists. The mere act of negotiating with them can prove to dangerous when diplomacy is used as a tactic to buy time and prepare for new offensives against the Free World.

The key aims of the terrorists in Iraq are to obscure any evidence of progress, and to escalate the costs of securing the new Iraq. The terrorist campaign is designed to lend support to those American voices that demand that we pull out our troops.

An arbitrary deadline for withdrawal would simply encourage the terrorists to bide their time, until they no longer face US troops. It would demoralize and probably alienate our allies, both in Iraq and beyond; it would embolden our enemies; and it would provide further incentives for the killing of Americans and other freedom-loving people in the interest of accelerating our surrender.

What Needs to Be Done

1. Win in Iraq.
  • Maintain military priorities and current troop strength to: deny the insurgents safe-haven and isolate the insurgents from the surrounding population.


  • Be a reliable ally. Make no further concessions to Baathists or other insurgents, and restore the confidence of the Iraqi people in the US commitment to their security and freedom. Reject any timetable or deadline for US forces to withdraw, in favor of a jointly developed goal-driven transition plan.


  • Develop the Iraqi Security Forces. By the fall of 2006, the Iraqi Army, National Guard, police, and other security forces will number 250,000 courageous men and women. These forces need: training in military skills, training in professional ethics and civilian relations, armored fighting vehicles, artillery and mortars, helicopters, communications, as well as logistics and maintenance capabilities.
2. Stay on the Offensive. We need to be mindful that, if we fail to keep our enemies off balance and on the run, we risk having to fight them some day within our national borders. If non-military strategies are insufficient, military options are called for.

3. Transform the Military. Maintain the armed forces we need today - and prepare for the needs of tomorrow:
  • Meet the costs associated with the war effort.


  • Ensure that we sustain our armed forces' technological edge.


  • Continue to field the most professional and best-trained forces in the world.


  • Maintain the ability to project power rapidly and globally. Toward this end, defense spending should be increased: to 4% of GDP in Fiscal Year 2006, 4.5% in Fiscal Year 2007, and 5% in Fiscal Year 2008.
4. Target the leaders of terrorist organizations. To do this, we need to create dedicated combined-arms units, equipped with:
  • elite conventional ground combat elements
  • dedicated intelligence assets


  • unmanned aerial vehicles


  • mobility capabilities
5. Fashion new alliances. The United States must aggressively pursue the creation of new alliances designed to support the long-term global war on terrorism, including:
  • Arrangements that are less formal than the NATO model, yet more durable than the ad hoc coalitions created to support operations in Afghanistan and Iraq


  • Long-term relationships that will support intelligence-sharing, training, and multinational operations
5. Recognize the limits of diplomacy. In general, it is surely better to discuss differences than to fight over them. However, when the real choice is between fighting a weak enemy today or a stronger enemy tomorrow, the diplomatic process may be a dangerous illusion.

6. Provide quality intelligence. To do this, critical changes must be made:
  • Encourage more risk-taking and competitive analysis. Eliminate pressures on analysts to produce conforming reports.


  • Make personnel changes. Careerists should be replaced with professionals capable of thinking outside the box - in both the CIA and DIA (Defense Intelligence Agency).


  • Bring intelligence professionalism into the State Department.


  • Liberate US intelligence collection. Bureaucratic problems inhibit our ability to gather crucial information and to transmit it quickly to policy-makers or to commanders in the field.


  • Undo recent detrimental "reforms." Recent changes created an additional, dysfunctional layer of bureaucracy - the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) whose personnel decisions and organizational demands have exacerbated problems within the community, not alleviated them.
Contributors: Major General Paul Vallely USA (Ret.), Lieutenant General Thomas McInerney USAF (Ret.) and Dr. Dan Goure and Dr. Michael Rubin

Energy Security

The Problem
As a practical matter, the United States is financing both sides of the global conflict. The spike in oil prices since 2001 costs the United States an extra $200 billion per year - much of it going to regimes that support terrorist groups and ideologies.

A jihadist website hails this development:

"The killing of 10 American soldiers is nothing compared to the impact of the rise in oil prices on America and the disruption that it causes in the international economy."

Where the money goes: Saudi Arabia uses its petrodollars, garnered from this country and elsewhere, to build its Islamist infrastructure - including: building and operating Wahhabi "Islamic centers" and schools; recruiting students, imprisoned convicts and military personnel; and, not least, funding terror organizations.

The same is true, to a lesser extent of other Islamofascist state-sponsors of terror. For example, Iran's oil revenues support its Shiite version of Islamism and underwrite some of the world's most dangerous terrorist organizations, including Hezbollah.

It is reckless for the United States to allow oil to remain a strategic commodity - that is, a product whose disruption can hold our economy hostage and jeopardize our national security - especially when many of the suppliers of that commodity are determined to do us harm.
What Needs to Be Done

We must reduce the strategic importance of oil in the global economy, to be interchange-able with other energy resources. Today, the transportation sector accounts for two-thirds of oil consumption.

The Set America Free Coalition presents a blueprint for transforming the US transportation sector to halve US oil consumption by 2025 by promoting non-petroleum, next-generation fuels - and vehicles designed to use them

1. Create Fuel Choice: When it comes to filling the fuel tank, American consumers have no real choice. And if petroleum supplies are ever disrupted, we have no fallback option.

Vehicles: All new cars should be flexible fuel vehicles (FFVs), designed to run on gasoline or alcohol-based fuels (ethanol and methanol) or a combination.

Fuels:

  • Ethanol (grain alcohol) can be produced domestically from fermented agricultural products, including corn. Feedstocks other than corn can be converted to ethanol, without the need for substantial government subsidy. Current research is developing processes to convert "cellulosic biomass" (from grasses) into ethanol.


  • Processes already exist to produce ethanol from sugar cane - currently used extensively in Brazil. By encouraging low-cost sugar cane producers to increase their output and become major fuel suppliers, we could reduce our reliance on oil from unstable or hostile sources while greatly enhancing the US posture in the Western Hemisphere.


  • Methanol (wood alcohol). Methanol is produced mostly from natural gas. Greatly expanded domestic production can be achieved, however, by producing methanol from other materials. Coal which we have in abundance can also be converted into clean liquid fuels (methanol can be commercially produced for fifty cents a gallon; the proven Fisher Tropsch technology produces diesel and jet fuel from coal).
2. Electrify transportation. "Hybrid" vehicles combine a traditional gasoline-burning internal combustion engine with a battery-powered electric motor, to improve gas mileage. Increasing fuel choice calls for taking hybrids one step further: Plug-in hybrids.
  • Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) look and perform much like regular hybrid cars, but they can be charged to run on electricity by plugging into an ordinary 120-volt outlet - up to 60 miles per charge.


  • PHEVs can reach fuel economy levels of 100 miles per gallon of gasoline consumed.


  • Moreover, a plug-in vehicle designed to use alternative fuels (say, 80% alcohol and 20% gasoline) might achieve fuel economy as high as 500 miles per gallon of gasoline.


  • The administration and Congress should encourage the purchase of plug-in hybrid vehicles, through rebates and tax credits to buyers.

3. Stretch a gallon still further. In the last three decades, the American economy has grown nearly five times faster than energy use - proof that conservation can go hand-in-hand with increases in productivity. Encouraging conservation must be a central ingredient in our War Footing strategy.

Individual initiatives. The most immediate measures to improve the efficiency of America's automobile fleet are in the hands of individual motorists:
  • properly inflating tires


  • tuning the engine


  • maintaining air filters


  • removing excess weight from the trunk


  • driving at a steady pace


  • consolidating trips


  • choosing to take the "broadband highway" to work, using the Internet to telecommute from a home office


  • Better materials. Reducing the weight and drag of a vehicle need not require reducing its size or safety, but it can greatly increase gas mileage. Cars made from advanced composites and next-generation steels can roughly halve fuel consumption without compromising size, safety, performance, or cost effectiveness.


  • Modern diesels. Hybrid diesel engines can combine the benefits of both technologies to reach even higher efficiency gains.


  • New technologies are available to utilize non-fossil sources (including waste materials) for diesel production.


  • An innovative biodiesel fuel can be commercially produced from soybeans and other vegetable oils.
Contributors: Dr. Gal Luft and Anne Korin

Divest Terror

The Problem

The states that support terrorist organizations benefit from other Free World sources of funding besides the sale of oil.

Perhaps the most important of these involves huge sums our enemies garner from unwitting American investors. A number of publicly traded enterprises that partner with terrorist-sponsoring regimes raise funds in US capital markets.

A study released in August 2004 by the Center for Security Policy (http://www.divestterror.org/) examined an illustrative subset of this problem - the holdings of America's top 100 public pension funds. This study revealed that:

On average, America's leading public pension systems - representing firefighters, police officers, military personnel and veterans and other government employees - invest between 15% and 23% of their portfolio in companies that do business with state-sponsors of terror.Most public pension systems and university endowments are unable to quantify their resulting exposure to what the Securities and Exchange Commission calls "Global Security Risk."

Few of these funds have taken any steps to inform their beneficiaries about such exposure, let alone taken steps to reduce it by divesting the stocks of companies that partner with America's enemies or through other means.

The Center for Security Policy's study showed that the American pension funds examined had approximately $188 billion invested in companies that partner with terrorist-sponsoring regimes. Of that amount, roughly $73 billion was actually invested in the countries in question. Since money is fungible, it is reasonable to conclude that at least some of these staggering amounts are being used to underwrite terror, ballistic missile, weapons of mass destruction or other threatening activities.

What Needs to Be Done
Individual Americans can spearhead a divestment initiative, to cut the flow of funds to state-sponsors of terror.

1. Organize to reach state officials
  • State and local public pension funds should be required by law to divest the stock of any company that does business in terrorist-sponsoring nations.


  • Send letters to the governor, state treasurer, leading state senators, and representatives or assemblymen.


  • Sample letters can be downloaded from http://www.divestterror.org/.
2. Create a buzz. Send an e-mail to family, friends, neighbors, congregation leaders and members, and business associates to educate them about this issue.

3. Engage the media. Bring this issue to public awareness through local, community, and state media: newspapers, talk radio, and television.

4. Don't take 'No' for an answer.
  • Set clear markers and timetables for action.


  • Ensure that the media are aware of any commitments that are made - and whether they are met.
Contributor: Christopher Holton

Equip the Homefront

The Problem

The war on the homefront requires America to combat individual terrorists and their organizations that seek to operate within our own borders. Until 9/11, we generally adopted a conventional policing approach to this threat - prosecuting terrorists as criminals, usually after they had attacked.

This approach actually endangers the public:

  • Armed enemies who would be recognized as a deadly threat on the battlefield are by definition under our system of justice presumed innocent in the courtroom.


  • The information that is put into the public record in the course of prosecuting such individuals may be extremely sensitive. Its disclosure could compromise or otherwise harm military and intelligence secrets or operations.

Mission Impossible: Self-inflicted impediments to a secure homeland

Matters were made worse by the "Wall" constructed between intelligence and prosecutorial agencies, prohibiting the sharing of information. For example, a few weeks before the 9/11 attacks, FBI headquarters refused to allow exchanges of information between its criminal and intelligence divisions in the attempt to locate two suspected terrorists. These two known suspects, Khalid al-Midhar and Nawaf al-Hazmi, were thus afforded the freedom of movement that allowed them to hijack Flight 77 and fly it into the Pentagon.

Political correctness is causing government officials to discourage law enforcement agencies from using standard screening techniques to prioritize the allocation of scarce resources. As a result of inhibitions about "profiling," the job of protecting us is being made more difficult.

Similar sensitivities have impeded the public from being mobilized to help monitor threats to America's communities and infrastructure - a role whose importance was underscored by the attacks on London's transportation system in August 2005.

Most US police departments lack the specialized training they need to play a constructive role in protecting the American homeland against terrorist actors. While those of New York City and Los Angeles have begun to make preventing terrorist attacks a core policing function, most remain ill-equipped or -prepared to do so.

We are also not utilizing the single most effective tool for training our community leaders and other senior officials to contend with crisis scenarios. The on-the-job training in evidence during and after Hurricane Katrina was a powerful reminder that in disasters -whether manmade or natural - the cost of unready leadership can be the otherwise avoidable loss of life and destruction of property.

What Needs To Be Done

The possibility that the home front may once again be, as it was on September 11, 2001, on the front lines of the War for the Free World requires that we take a number of mutually reinforcing steps. These include:

1. Make the Patriot Act permanent. The Patriot Act as a whole infringes only modestly on our civil liberties and only to the extent absolutely necessary. We need to keep in mind that, if these precautions should fail to prevent some further terrorist attack, we are likely to see impassioned demands for greater security measures, at the expense of our freedoms. We need to make sure the Patriot Act remains in place and effective.

2. Allow appropriate use of "profiling." Not every terrorist will fit the profile. But to deny police the ability to take such straightforward identifying information into account - and, in so doing, to waste precious resources by focusing attention on people unlikely to be terrorists - amounts to inviting attack.

3. Maintain prohibitions on "material support" to terror. Any assistance that strengthens a terror organization also makes it more efficient at the brutal business of killing. This is the end result of contributions that enhance its overall resources and its attractiveness to potential recruits. What is more, terrorism cannot be marginalized and eradicated if those who engage in it are legitimized. A legal regime that allows terror organizations to flourish - to masquerade as mere political entities that happen to be armed - is self-defeating. Our enemies will be far more formidable if they are afforded a supporting infrastructure and the latitude to operate inside the United States.

4. Maximize the counter-terror effectiveness of America's police forces.

Develop robust intelligence and analytical capabilities.

Educate officers regarding Islamic fundamentalism and terrorist tactics.

Participate in local Joint Terrorism Task Forces.

Foster programs to educate and engage the public.

Facilitate cooperation and sharing of resources across jurisdictional lines (for example, state, local, and, where appropriate, tribal). Involve, where appropriate, the private sector, which has massive experience in establishing cooperative business relationships.

5. Institute a "national Neighborhood Watch." Local law enforcement has vast experience in developing and effectively using Neighborhood Watch programs. To help put our country on the needed War Footing, we must now harness this capacity by networking these groups into a national counterpart effort to fight both crime and terror. This will require attuning citizens to the threat and informing them as to how they can take action.

6. Prepare our leaders - both in and outside of government - with specialized training in emergency response.

Urge community leaders to get simulation-based training. Programs that build decision-making and leadership skills should include "curve balls," simulating the unpredictable demands typical of real crises. Leaders should be encouraged to train together as a team, including representatives of government and businesses who must work together in a crisis.

Create a network to share information with neighbors. A shared roster can identify those with special skills or special needs, and provide emergency contact information.

Encourage community leaders to discuss emergency preparedness and training.

Contributors: Andrew McCarthy, Tim Connors and Mark Chussil

The EMP Threat

The Problem

A massive current of EMP (electro-magnetic pulse) could be unleashed with catastrophic effect on the United States if a nuclear weapon is detonated high above the earth's atmosphere. The energy of this pulse would interact with the Earth's magnetic field, affecting - and possibly destroying - every piece of unshielded electronic gear and power grids in line-of-sight of the detonation, all at the speed of light. What is more, the higher the altitude of the weapon's detonation, the larger the affected area would be. At a height of 300 miles, the entire continental United States would be exposed to EMP attack, along with parts of Canada and Mexico.

As a result, America could be transformed from a 21st Century superpower into a pre-industrial society almost instantaneously.

This sounds unbelievable. But a blue-ribbon commission created by Congress confirmed this danger in a report submitted in August 2004. Thanks to the almost unimaginable power of an EMP wave unleashed by a properly configured nuclear weapon - approximately a million times as strong as the most powerful radio signals on earth - the devastation caused could make the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina look modest by comparison.

Given the magnitude of the danger it is astonishing that EMP is hardly ever mentioned when threats to this country from Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) are discussed. This might be considered the ultimate WMD - yet practically the only people aware of its potential for harm are our enemies.

In fact, the congressionally chartered commission discovered that knowledge about EMP is widespread in such places as: China, Cuba, Egypt, India, Iran, Saddam Hussein's Iraq, North Korea, Pakistan, and Russia. Several of these nations, and perhaps terrorists that they sponsor, could launch a nuclear-capable ballistic missile from a ship - the sort of attack that poses an especially grave threat to the United States.

What Needs To Be Done

EMP attack poses a clear and present danger to our national security, our technological society, and our democratic and cosmopolitan way of life. The EMP Threat Commission has presented a blueprint for protecting both US military forces and the United States homeland from EMP attack.

The Commission's plan includes three focused efforts.

1. Deter EMP attacks. Make it difficult and dangerous to acquire the materials to make nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. This will require:

  • vastly improved intelligence


  • the capacity to perform clandestine operations, throughout the world


  • assured means of retaliation in the event of attack

2. Defeat EMP attacks.

Protect critical military capabilities and civilian infrastructure from EMP effects. We must re-build our neglected scientific and technical base for conducting EMP tests of military and civilian equipment.

Deploy a comprehensive defense against ballistic missile delivery systems.We know that a catastrophic EMP attack can be mounted only by putting a nuclear weapon into space over the United States - using a ballistic missile.

Enhance the capability of existing defenses. We need widely to deploy anti-missile defenses on the Navy's fleet of more than sixty AEGIS air defense ships.

3. Reduce our vulnerability to EMP attacks. We must prepare for the consequences of an EMP attack, in the event that deterrence and protection fail. The EMP Commission plan provides detailed recommendations for protecting the nation's critical infrastructures, in four key areas:
  • Electric power grid


  • Telecommunications


  • Transportation


  • Food and Water
This will require close collaboration between government at all levels and the private sector. We must also ensure that we have, on-hand and properly protected, the equipment and parts needed to repair EMP-damaged systems.

4. Extend the life of the EMP Commission for four years. The Commission's report has so far received little serious attention - from the White House, the Department of Homeland Security, the Congress, or the media. With a renewed mandate and public and official support, the Commission can play a vital role in overseeing the implementation of the required corrective actions.

Related Links

See what the private sector is doing to reduce our vulnerability at: http://www.stop-emp.com/.

View video about the EMP threat: Windows Media

Contributors: Reps. Curt Weldon and Roscoe Bartlett